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Campaign donors hope money makes the difference in hotly contested states

Federal campaigns get much of the spotlight, but state and local races can be as consequential for residents' lives. Funders know that.
Millions of dollars are being spent to sway voters on state-level ballot initiatives.
Alex Wong/Getty Images

How political ads try to shape the way we feel about the economy

Apr 3, 2024
Campaigns and advocacy groups may spend up to $17 billion on ads in 2024. Many pitches will focus on the local and the personal.
According to Tess McRae of the Parkside Group, successful messaging for incumbents will highlight smaller ways people’s lives have improved — like lower gas prices.
Jim Watson/AFP via Getty Images

Perceptions that the economy's bad can cost you an election, even if the economy isn't actually bad

Mar 28, 2024
In 1992, voters’ perception that an improving economy was actually a bad economy contributed to Bush’s loss to Clinton. Could the same thing happen to Biden?
President George H. W.  Bush greets supporters ahead of a debate against soon-to-be President Bill Clinton in 1992. Bush blamed the media for pushing the narrative of a "bad" economy, despite positive economic indicators.
LUKE FRAZZA/AFP via Getty Images

How independent are Fed officials from the politicians who appoint them?

Mar 6, 2024
Biden has mostly shied away from publicly criticizing the Fed chair, while Trump tweeted about the Fed hundreds of times while in office.
It’s a mistake to think the Federal Reserve is completely immune from politics, says Sarah Binder at George Washington University. Above, Fed Chair Jerome Powell testifies at a House Financial Services Committee hearing.
Sarah Silbiger/Getty Images

What are some of the key takeaways from Davos 2024?

War, A.I. and U.S. elections were among the key talking points at the World Economic Forum, says Patrick Foulis of The Economist.
At the World Economic Forum, many decisions are being made based on the possibility of another Trump presidency, says Patrick Foulis of The Economist.
Fabrice Coffrini/AFP via Getty Images

The biggest global risks of 2024

Geopolitical conflicts persist, and a political war rages inside the U.S. as elections approach, observes Eurasia Group’s Ian Bremmer.
Brendan Smialowski/AFP via Getty Images

2024 economic forecasts bring optimism and uncertainty

Jan 3, 2024
Fairly low unemployment, gradually slowing inflation and continued economic growth are all positive signals. But there are risks too.
“Rather than cautiously optimistic, I’d say we’re optimistically cautious,” said Vanguard's Andrew Patterson of 2024's economic outlook.
Spencer Platt/Getty Images

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What was (and wasn't) accomplished in D.C. this past year

While the passage of legislation in Congress has largely been stalled by political drama, impacts from the CHIPS Act and infrastructure law are starting to be felt.
Mandel Ngan/AFP via Getty Images

The 2024 election cycle is going to be very, very expensive

So far, outside spending far surpasses 2020’s pace, says Sheila Krumholz of OpenSecrets. But where’s the money coming from?
The campaigns of Donald Trump and Joe Biden each raised more than $24 million in the third quarter.
Scott Olson and Mark Makela/Getty Images